Presidential election · Tuesday 10 August 2027

The 2027 presidential race

Everyone in the field: the incumbent, the declared challengers and the names pollsters keep asking about. Each comes with their record, their poll numbers and links to the evidence.

Election day
Tuesday 10 August 2027
Voters in 2022
22,120,458 registered; the 2027 register is not final yet
To win
More than 50% of all votes, and 25% in at least 24 counties
Incumbent
William Ruto (UDA), eligible for a second term

Who is in the race

Statuses come from each person's record on this site. "United Opposition contender" means a principal of the opposition alliance, which has yet to settle on one candidate. "Named in polls" means a pollster included them; it does not mean they have declared. Sides follow their current party or alliance.

Compare them on the issues

What the polls say

6 national polls in the last 6 months. The latest:

  • William Ruto
  • Kalonzo Musyoka
  • Edwin Sifuna
  • Fred Matiang'i
  • Rigathi Gachagua
0%10%20%30%40%50%Jan 26MarMayJulSep● Ruto 41.9%● Kalonzo 18.9%● Sifuna 16.4%● Matiang'i 7.5%● Gachagua 6%

Each dot is one national poll, placed at the end of its fieldwork; the lines join each month's average, and the labels on the right give the latest month's average. Pollsters ask different questions and sample differently, so part of the movement between dots is the pollster, not the race.

Show the numbers as a table
PollRutoKalonzoSifunaMatiang'iGachagua
Mizani Africa25 Sep 202638.7%27.5%13.2%7.7%–
Politrack Africa25 Sep 202645.1%10.3%19.6%7.2%6%
Swiss Poll International20 Aug 202631%22%–––
Infotrak26 Jun 202632%13%12%12%4%
TIFA Research22 Jun 202624%13%15%14%7%
TIFA Research11 May 202624%19%10%14%9%
Infotrak20 Dec 202528%12%0.2%13%5%

How the winner is decided

Key dates

Six votes on one day

The presidential vote is one of six on the day. 11 governor seats are open because of term limits.

  1. PresidentOne national race. Needs more than half of all votes and at least a quarter of the votes in 24 or more counties.
  2. GovernorRuns the county government. One per county, 47 in all; limited to two terms.
  3. SenatorRepresents the county in the Senate, which guards county interests and shares out revenue.
  4. Woman RepresentativeSits in the National Assembly for the whole county. One per county.
  5. Member of ParliamentOne per constituency, 290 in all.
  6. Member of County Assembly (MCA)One per ward, 1,450 in all. Passes county laws and the county budget.

Where things stand after 2022

Questions

When is Kenya's next general election?

On Tuesday 10 August 2027. The Constitution sets it for the second Tuesday of August every fifth year.

What will I vote for?

Six offices on one day: President, Governor, Senator, Woman Representative, Member of Parliament and Member of County Assembly.

How does a presidential candidate win?

With more than half of all votes cast and at least 25% of the votes in more than half of the 47 counties (24 or more). Otherwise the top two go to a run-off within 30 days.

Who is running for President in 2027?

President William Ruto is eligible for a second term. Edwin Sifuna, David Maraga, Boniface Mwangi, Peter Salasya have declared, the United Opposition has yet to pick one candidate, and others are named in polls. This page lists them all with their records and poll numbers.

Which governors cannot run again in 2027?

Issa Timamy (Lamu), Ahmed Abdullahi (Wajir), Muthomi Njuki (Tharaka-Nithi), Julius Malombe (Kitui), Anne Waiguru (Kirinyaga), Simon Kachapin (West Pokot), Stephen Sang (Nandi), Joseph Ole Lenku (Kajiado), Wilber Ottichilo (Vihiga), Kenneth Lusaka (Bungoma), Peter Anyang' Nyong'o (Kisumu) are in a second term, so those seats will be open.

Is Siasa Compass neutral?

Yes. It does not rank, predict or endorse anyone. Claims are tagged by how strong the evidence is and linked to sources.

Sources

Candidate details come from each person's record and biography, where the sources are listed. Spotted an error? Send it in.