Uhuru Kenyatta vs Raila Odinga

Pursued debt-financed, state-led megaprojects such as the Chinese-funded Standard Gauge Railway, and signed a cap on bank interest rates in 2016 (repealed 2019). Public debt rose sharply. (medium confidence)

As Prime Minister backed state programmes such as the Kazi Kwa Vijana youth-jobs scheme. His ministerial spells left a thin economic record. (low confidence)

The government reported issuing millions of title deeds (its own figures). No major redistribution. (low confidence)

Courts ruled the BBI constitutional-change drive unconstitutional, upheld by the Supreme Court in March 2022. Refused for years to appoint judges nominated by the JSC. He did accept the 2017 Supreme Court nullification and went to a rerun. (medium confidence)

Detained for years under Moi during the fight for multiparty politics, led the 2005 'No' campaign against a strong-presidency draft and backed the 2010 Constitution. Then co-led BBI, which courts ruled unconstitutional. (medium confidence)

Son of the first president. Governed as the establishment, then backed Raila Odinga against his own deputy in 2022. (high confidence)

Alternated between confronting and joining government: merged his party into KANU in 2002, joined the Grand Coalition in 2008, the 2018 handshake, and cooperation with Ruto's government from 2025. (high confidence)

Switched off three TV stations in January 2018 and kept them off despite a court order. Signed the 2018 cybercrimes law, parts of which courts suspended. (medium confidence)

Detained without trial 1982 to 1988, 1988 to 1989 and 1990 to 1991, and kept organising. Protests he called were met with police force that rights groups documented. (medium confidence)